There is a lack of data in recent history of food terrorism attacks, and as such, it is difficult to predict its impact. The food supply industry is one of the most vulnerable industries for terrorist threats while the poultry industry is one of the largest food industries in the United States. A small food terrorism attack against a single poultry processing center has the potential to affect a much larger human population than its immediate consumers. In this work, the spread of foodborne pathogens is simulated in a poultry production and processing system to defend against intentional contamination. An agent-based simulated environment that represents the farm, processing plant, homes, and restaurants is developed, which contains both poultry and human agents that move through the system and possibly infect each other. The simulation is run by varying several parameters that include probability of infection if exposed for both poultry and humans. The simulation predicts the number of infected poultry and humans over time.
Lankford, S.; Thompson, D. R.; and Ricke, S. C.
"Simulating Foodborne Pathogens in Poultry Production and Processing to Defend Against Intentional Contamination,"
Journal of the Arkansas Academy of Science: Vol. 71
, Article 18.
Available at: http://scholarworks.uark.edu/jaas/vol71/iss1/18