Date of Graduation

5-2025

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science in Agricultural Economics (MS)

Degree Level

Graduate

Department

Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness

Advisor/Mentor

Thompson, Jada M.

Committee Member

Durand-Morat, Alvaro

Second Committee Member

D'Haese, Marijke

Keywords

food security; High Path Avian Influenza; international restrictions; poultry industry; trade regionalization

Abstract

As food security becomes a growing concern worldwide in a trading system dominated by globalization, the safeguarding of a bio-secure food system is at risk. One of the greatest risks to this stability of the system is, highly pathogenic avian influenza or HPAI which is growing in frequency and impact. Therefore, the global response to disease events is evolving into a newfound understanding of disease prevalence across the animal protein industries. This study will analyze the 2022 HPAI event in the United States regarding the regionalization of restrictions imposed by trading partners accounting for trade agreements executed. The examination of potential shifts in trading partnerships, geopolitical relations, trade agreements, and the adaptation or abandonment of regionalized trade restrictions imposed is discussed. Using publicly available panel data coupled with the gravity model, the shifts in trade relations and the effectiveness of regionalization export restrictions against the United States were explored. The conclusions derived from the model show the need for targeted policies as commodities and regions of the world respond differently to the factors of regionalization of bans.

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