Author ORCID Identifier:
Date of Graduation
12-2025
Document Type
Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Science in Computer Science (MS)
Degree Level
Graduate
Department
Computer Science & Computer Engineering
Advisor/Mentor
Gauch, Susan
Committee Member
Zhang, Lu
Second Committee Member
Wu, Xintao
Keywords
Classification; Emotion Analysis; Large Language Model; Social Media; Stock Prediction
Abstract
Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market’s inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. In this thesis, we present a published paper that discusses a deep learning framework integrating emo- tion features extracted from tweet data with historical stock price information to forecast significant price changes on the following day. We utilize Meta’s LLaMA 3.1-8B-Instruct model to preprocess tweet data, thereby enhancing the quality of emotion features derived from three emotion analysis approaches: a transformer-based DistilRoBERTa classifier from the Hugging Face library and two lexicon-based methods using National Research Council Canada (NRC) resources. These features are combined with previous-day stock price data to train a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Experimental results on TSLA, AAPL, and AMZN stocks show that all three emotion analysis methods improve the average accu- racy for predicting significant price movements, compared to the baseline model using only historical stock prices, which yields an accuracy of 13.5%. The DistilRoBERTa-based stock prediction model achieves the best performance, with accuracy rising from 23.6% to 38.5% when using LLaMA-enhanced emotion analysis. These results demonstrate that using large language models to preprocess tweet content enhances the effectiveness of emotion analysis, which in turn improves the accuracy of predicting significant stock price movements.
Citation
Vuong, A. (2025). Predicting Stock Price Movement with LLM-Enhanced Tweet Emotion Analysis. Graduate Theses and Dissertations Retrieved from https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/6021