Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2-2025

Keywords

Decision support system ; Food system ; Climate change ; Health impact ; Scenario design

Abstract

To generate evidence to address food system challenges, we developed an adaptable framework for multimodel assessment of the convergence effect of health and environmental drivers in food systems. We achieved this goal by developing a modeling framework that facilitates testing and applying four deep-learning algorithms using a case study of the United States's food system. Among the models tested, the bidirectional and single-layer long short-term memory models outperformed the others with αE(2.75) and αH(3.51) when predicting environmental drivers and health drivers, respectively. All the models tested performed better at predicting environmental than health drivers. The best-performing model for each dimension was deployed into the Food System Rapid Overview Assessment through Scenarios (FS-ROAS) tool. As we approach the endpoint of the transformative 2030 agenda, FS-ROAS can be a timely toolkit that enables stakeholders to explore diverse intervention scenarios in the context of short-medium and long-term goals for future food systems and generate evidence to guide future actions.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License

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